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Brief · MENA · 28 July 2026

Two wind datasets put Middle East and Africa at 15.2 GW and 31.2 GW, and Türkiye is the gap

Windpower Intelligence counts 31.2 GW at end-2025 and GWEC counts 15.2 GW. Subtract Türkiye from the first and the two land within half a gigawatt.

Photo: Amir Karmous, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Two credible wind datasets put Middle East and Africa’s installed capacity at the end of 2025 at 15.2 GW and 31.2 GW. Both are right. The gap between them is one country.

Windpower Intelligence published its July global forecast on 16 July, projecting the MEA region to reach 69.1 GW of installed wind by end-2032, up from 31.2 GW at end-2025. Türkiye claims 27.5 GW of that 2032 total after adding just under 12 GW across the outlook, which implies just over 15.5 GW already in place there today. Egypt is forecast at 11.9 GW by end-2032, Morocco at 6.8 GW, South Africa above 10 GW. The forecast groups everything else in the region, the entire Gulf included, into a single “others” line of roughly 12.5 GW. Separately, GWEC’s Global Wind Energy Report 2026 counted 15.2 GW installed across Africa and the Middle East at end-2025 and forecasts 35 GW of new additions between 2026 and 2030, split 53% Middle East and 47% Africa. Subtract Türkiye from the Windpower Intelligence total and the two datasets land within half a gigawatt of each other.

Why it matters

On these numbers, Türkiye has built roughly as much wind capacity as the rest of Africa and the Middle East combined. Where an analyst files a single country doubles or halves the headline number for an entire region, and those headline numbers reach capital allocation committees long before the footnotes do.

What it means for MENA

Check the regional definition before quoting any regional total. For anyone sizing a turbine order book or a service territory here, that 12.5 GW “others” line is the number to watch, because the forecast names Türkiye, South Africa, Egypt and Morocco individually and Saudi Arabia is not among them. Saudi Arabia closed 2025 with 2,324 MW installed after adding 1,512 MW in a single year. One country’s build-out could redraw that entire line before 2032.